Semmelweis used comparisons across time, between the two clinics, and
between periods of greater and lesser contact with autopsy material. The
2022 reanalysis finds an 11.3 per cent mortality ratio in the First Clinic
from July 1840 through October 1846, 18.3 per cent in April 1847 after
Semmelweis resumed work involving autopsies, and about 2.0 per cent from
June 1847 through February 1849 after chlorine washing began. The sequence
strongly supports an effect of the intervention
(Stang, Standl, and Poole).
Those percentages divide recorded deaths by admissions; they are not
linked individual risks with a fixed follow-up period. Sick women were
sometimes transferred to other hospital wards, where their deaths could
disappear from maternity-clinic returns. Diagnoses were historical,
allocation was not random, and Semmelweis did not record enough detail to
adjust for differences in patients' health. Later bias analysis found the
main result reasonably robust, but it cannot turn the episode into a
controlled experiment or prove every element of Semmelweis's theory
(Stang, Standl, and Poole).
The surviving record is also institutionally unequal. Thousands of women
appear in tables, but almost never as authors of testimony. The claim that
patients feared the First Clinic comes through Semmelweis's later book.
Their exposure to repeated teaching examinations and the consequences of
clinicians' routines were material to the discovery, even though the
archive preserves their perspectives poorly.